✪ EXPECT CHAOS IN CUBA

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he Communist dictatorship in Cuba is on its last legs. For decades, it has had a parasitical relationship with the Soviet Union; which kept it alive economically, militarily, and politically. The Soviet Union was able to last for as long as it did because it was truly gargantuan; spanning two continents and filled with natural resources which the government utilized to stave off the inevitable end of all Marxist regimes. However when it finally collapsed, Cuba’s economy took an even deeper dive than ever before, euphemistically referred to in its history as the “Special Period.”

Oil-rich Venezuela, then the wealthiest country in South America, became Communist and extended a lifeline to Cuba while it, too, oppressed its people and ruined the country. With the arrival of Donald Trump, that lifeline is now completely gone. Cuba has no oil and we can see what happens when fossil fuels disappear (paying attention, global warmists?).

Thanks to decades of Communist rule, Cuba is as decrepit as Haiti. Yes, things there that bad. Buildings and homes are literally disintegrating each year due to the harsh Caribbean sun and salty sea air. The inhabitants are unable to repair the damage; and there are piles of garbage everywhere on the streets (it is hard to imagine that Havana and many other Cuban cities were once pristine). Food is scarce. In cities, there are certain spots which are still livable, even beautiful. They are either for Cuba’s nomenklatura or where tourists — particularly Canadian, French, and Spanish Communists — stay and visit. Ordinary Cubans rarely eat fish — and Cuba is an island in the Caribbean! And sugar, for which the country was famous and resulted in the Dance of the Millions during WWI? Nope. All gone.

The reader may be aware how Zimbabwe (formerly Rhodesia) was also once a breadbasket. However, under decades of black Communist rule, it, too, has to now import food.

Incidentally, something that’s really never been acknowledged is the Communist regime in Cuba would have probably been overthrown long ago, except escaping to Florida was a pressure valve which sent the potentially most dangerous foes overseas (even so, there have been occasional outbursts, the most well-known being “El Maleconazo”). This is similar to what happened after the Russians crushed the Hungarian revolt. After some hesitation, the Soviet and Hungarian Communists briefly opened the border to allow Hungarian fighters emigrate to Austria. This safety valve was recorded in a much-neglected work by James Michener, The Bridge at Andau.

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The Communists in America and Canada have always insisted the reason for decrepitude in Cuba is not Communism but the American embargo; omitting the fact there are still over a hundred countries which can trade with Cuba. They will voice compassion for the suffering Cubans as a result of the embargo while being noticeably catatonic when it comes to the persecution, jailing, or execution of political prisoners and of the Ladies in White (it’s fascinating seeing leftists turn on and off the compassion spigot at will). They will also forget — deliberately so — the embargo does not apply to food or medicine, though such items have to be paid for with cash. Credit by U.S. banks is not allowed; mostly because the Communist government has defaulted on so many previous foreign loans. Their stance is not too surprising when one takes into account that some liberals also deny the Cambodian genocide by the Khmer Rouge took place.

The current Cuban regime is obviously crippled with their Venezuelan oil supply cut off. And Trump, through Marco Rubio, has set his sights on it. However, unlike the Venezuelan and Iranian dictators, Cuba has wisely chosen not to challenge the Americans to come and try to invade their island. Regardless, there are reports of demonstrations against the government, which are becoming more violent and more vengeful, carried out in the dead of night since the island goes entirely dark after sunset due to lack of energy. There are reports of at least one office of the Communist Party being torched. That’s a good start.

If the government in Cuba completely collapses or is overthrown, don’t expect a peaceful transition of power as was the case in Czechoslovakia, Hungary or East Germany. More likely expect a bloodbath because Cubans can be very vengeful. And they have decades of repressed, bottled up anger, suffering, and deprivation to fire themselves. Their government leaders understand this. If the regime can make a deal with Trump in time to obtain some oil, it might just survive; albeit in a greatly weakened form. However, if Trump and Rubio decide to walk away and keep the pressure on, it’ll be the end.

Incidentally, note the demonstrations by Cubans in Cuba are not anti-American (after all, the Cubans are not Democrats). And they are not protesting any American sanctions or embargo.

Speaking of leftist, be prepared to see hordes of liberal white saviors with their prefabricated signs taking to the streets while claiming to speak for the Cuban people against Trump; just like they have been telling Iranian and Venezuelan exiles they know better than the Venezuelans and Iranians themselves. I cannot tell you how many times liberals who cannot even speak Spanish and know nothing about pre-Castro history, nor Cuban culture, have lectured me about how wonderful life is in Cuba under the Communist dictatorship. For decades, liberals in America and other countries have demonized Cuban-Americans, attacking any Cuban-Americans who spoke out against the regime, from Paquito D’Rivera to Andy Garcia to Camila Cabello.

There remains one important difference, though. Since the beginning of the Cuban dictatorship, the Communists in Havana have sent hundreds of criminals and agents as “refugees” to infiltrate Cuban-American organizations in the United States to gather intelligence and conduct espionage. It appears some are already beginning to make noise over the present situation. On an American Communist website and various social media, there are already photos of such kinds of groups; almost all wearing red shirts while raising the customary marxist fist power salute. Some activist groups are already marching with prefabricated signs bearing the visage of Che Guevara. They also refer to the embargo as the American blockade. “Blockade,” not an embargo, is also the word the Cuban regime uses on its people and foreign sympathizers to explain the shortages of everything; to give the impression nothing is allowed by the United States to get through. I suspect when the regime does fall, these foreign agents will not be returning back home to Cuba.

And if the Cuban regime is overthrown, what then? Chaos because currently, there is no organized resistance in the country which could assume governance to take over. Perhaps the Cuban military or the people themselves will step in. Either way, don’t expect any new government to honor or pay off all the defaulted debts or honor any diplomatic agreements of the previous government.

A new Cuban constitution should be prepared to take into account all the historical mistakes made over the last six decades by the Communist dictatorship in Cuba.

Yet, chaos or no chaos, anything will be an improvement over Communism. ✪